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What this means. A wallet put $127.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$127.8k
BUY No @ 97.5¢ · 131,033 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)6.5× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet 0x5fbd…fb37 took No (buy) for $127.8k at an average 97.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $127.8k+2
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−3929American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.5¢
- Implied odds
- 97.5%
- Size
- $127.8k
- Placed
- Nov 08, 12:18 EST
- Market close
- Dec 09, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x5fbd…fb37
- Tx
- 0x77f21891…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-26.5 pts
expected 3.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $126.9k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $39.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $225.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $100.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.4k | excluded |