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What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.9k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet sorcerer.01 took No (buy) for $24.9k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $24.9k
- Placed
- Jan 28, 18:44 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sorcerer.01
- Tx
- 0x7787f51b…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-6.0 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $78.3k 2.4× usual |
excluded |