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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -6.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-6.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$272.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$139.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $39.26M volume · 30,149 trades · since Jan 16, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$317.8k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$650
Closed-position win rate
81%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
646d
489 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +9.0 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -21.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7c156b…