{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x70ff3ba4f40af974297868bc2e39658ddf89f4709008524b4734fd946b3e2008:1","id":"trade:0x70ff3ba4f40af974297868bc2e39658ddf89f4709008524b4734fd946b3e2008:1","implied":0.009000000000000008,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.991,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781466435,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":27708.34018,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe867765deb64ed157313ef59e3e242c37684765c5cc13a68bd94d6739080cc64:1","id":"trade:0xe867765deb64ed157313ef59e3e242c37684765c5cc13a68bd94d6739080cc64:1","implied":0.996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780457095,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":24903.984,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0x77b9b065f487d1e18d005465d221ec6c84ed3babfaf6ecf62f20baeaa9fc3038","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7787f51b4e90149e67ee2aebc2cee33e2954672b152efd7ba6cb7c8fdcaa497c:1","id":"trade:0x7787f51b4e90149e67ee2aebc2cee33e2954672b152efd7ba6cb7c8fdcaa497c:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1769643846,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?","usd":24925.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x99cb01db687ddeec6054c5c67e22f47957e73de684d85859048b85e9a1d64f5c:0","id":"trade:0x99cb01db687ddeec6054c5c67e22f47957e73de684d85859048b85e9a1d64f5c:0","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769626908,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":14985.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3820ecd47f6cb337ac095d978304a60facbd35bcb2dd6b8faed8ed9a6829c368:0","id":"trade:0x3820ecd47f6cb337ac095d978304a60facbd35bcb2dd6b8faed8ed9a6829c368:0","implied":0.009000000000000008,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.991,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769281852,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":14865.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8f5589861acf07e8bd85e6a267391a2bf474298c5f4837bf6b6f710bd50cd7f3:0","id":"trade:0x8f5589861acf07e8bd85e6a267391a2bf474298c5f4837bf6b6f710bd50cd7f3:0","implied":0.014000000000000012,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.986,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769202902,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":11354.40132,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x37733bee0407cd047bcac8b57f38d0f25ffe6cd40615bcab83fadc5e0b3b4e43:0","id":"trade:0x37733bee0407cd047bcac8b57f38d0f25ffe6cd40615bcab83fadc5e0b3b4e43:0","implied":0.045978279499999886,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9540217205000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768194258,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":19080.43441,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0x7c6c69d91b21cbbea08a13d0ad51c0e96a956045aaadc77bce507c6b0475b66e","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x239de4ee66657ea27b7983e3855d7fe41fb14853a143711f93bbeae803038028:1","id":"trade:0x239de4ee66657ea27b7983e3855d7fe41fb14853a143711f93bbeae803038028:1","implied":0.014000000000000123,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9859999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1765891199,"title":"Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?","usd":10616.242279999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbc8cfd8b5ae6fbf133b019959333b15c48a6a16cfcf62066886a218a68b0b7ab:0","id":"trade:0xbc8cfd8b5ae6fbf133b019959333b15c48a6a16cfcf62066886a218a68b0b7ab:0","implied":0.77,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.77,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1765817099,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":19917.7979,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0x35cc41270f5cdfd59b45e68ab85dc51b0b900d286a6c74ea006b8572d9ff5934","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0e1381bd4f3b42f789470e49c8b95c2ad13cf5229dacffd2c86f8985dea17f9f:0","id":"trade:0x0e1381bd4f3b42f789470e49c8b95c2ad13cf5229dacffd2c86f8985dea17f9f:0","implied":0.21,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.21,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1765806723,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?","usd":12671.074499999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x191298a483f56f1f2b9eaafbef0c9cbdf0b917cb6dfad8e3cc098569606c85b9:0","id":"trade:0x191298a483f56f1f2b9eaafbef0c9cbdf0b917cb6dfad8e3cc098569606c85b9:0","implied":0.8153416448300895,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8153416448300895,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1765456399,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":29481.7347,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0baf0d7426999a5dc88d3ea9390b8a5e61d4b63420e49780b55b067715b16de2:1","id":"trade:0x0baf0d7426999a5dc88d3ea9390b8a5e61d4b63420e49780b55b067715b16de2:1","implied":0.020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.98,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1762508931,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":12218.052,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbe6192d2234f84b5293ccc3ebc014cd5409446e223e8c2a7249f336a0948fc22:1","id":"trade:0xbe6192d2234f84b5293ccc3ebc014cd5409446e223e8c2a7249f336a0948fc22:1","implied":0.9799999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9799999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1762348537,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":38529.6996,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9d7c1acba45e790755c26912e80ae9ceb8a2efb8730fc584477105c4fb179a3b:0","id":"trade:0x9d7c1acba45e790755c26912e80ae9ceb8a2efb8730fc584477105c4fb179a3b:0","implied":0.91,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.91,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761802191,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":11375.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.06000000000000005,"exp_rate":0.56,"expected":1.12,"hit":0.5,"n":2,"se":0.24889756929307283},"wallet":"0x7c156bb0dbb44dcb7387a78778e0da313bf3c9db"}