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What this means. A wallet put $93.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called
$93.0k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.9× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet wkmfa518 took No (buy) for $93.0k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $93.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
93¢
Implied odds
93.0%
Size
$93.0k
Placed
May 01, 15:18 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
wkmfa518
Tx
0x77863ee6…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+5.8 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.3k0% 0xad2f…d8c6 NEW116d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege117d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege118d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% kevtp119d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% KazLC119d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k0% HongKongMenace119d agoexcluded