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Lakers vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $54.5k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lakers vs. Thunderexcluded$54.5k
BUY Thunder @ 90¢ · 60,500 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 08AF took Thunder (buy) for $54.5k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $54.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 90.0%
- As American odds
- −900 no vig
- Size
- $54.5k
- Placed
- May 05, 22:02 EDT
- Market close
- May 05, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 08AF
- Tx
- 0x77478d30…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+17.8 pts
expected 5.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $38.7k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $67.8k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.5¢ | $12.3k | excluded |