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What this means. A wallet put $74.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$74.3k
BUY No @ 46¢ · 160,915 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $10k6 fills in 1hProven wallet2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $74.3k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $74.3k+1
6 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.2%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $74.3k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 20:36 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x762addfe…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +54 ptsNo price · entry 46¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY No @ 93¢ | $163.7k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $52.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ | $141.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $46.7k | excluded |