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What this means. A wallet put $38.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.4k
BUY No @ 59¢ · 64,730 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took No (buy) for $38.4k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−146American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.4%
- As American odds
- −146 no vig
- Size
- $38.4k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 15:03 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x7396a5ec…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +41 ptsNo price · entry 59¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |