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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ · 14,993 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet scout took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Aug 03, 17:13 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 02, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- scout
- Tx
- 0x72a6fab1…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+4.8 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.2k | excluded |