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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.9k
SELL No @ 84¢ · 15,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet PancraceRoyer took No (sell) for $12.9k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 16.0%
- Size
- $12.9k
- Placed
- Jun 04, 03:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- PancraceRoyer
- Tx
- 0x709225a3…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+10.8 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |