← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY Yes @ 48¢ · 41,667 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet trillionaire took Yes (buy) for $20.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 21:47 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 19, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- trillionaire
- Tx
- 0x706af398…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-48.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsYes price · entry 48¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | HIGH BUY No @ 89¢ | $396.3k 14.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $89.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |