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What this means. A wallet put $442.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$442.4k
BUY No @ 98¢ · 451,438 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)4.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet kgvdotcom took No (buy) for $442.4k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $442.4k+3
Near-certain price-2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4917American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 98.0%
- As American odds
- −4917 no vig
- Size
- $442.4k
- Placed
- Jun 09, 04:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 18:14 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kgvdotcom
- Tx
- 0x703a11ef…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+4.6 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $711.9k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $37.5k | excluded |