← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $29.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.6k
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took No (buy) for $29.6k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.6k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- Size
- $29.6k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 11:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul
- Tx
- 0x6f47bc7d…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $242.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $199.6k 7.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |