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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on Learner Tien, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.4 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.6k
BUY Learner Tien @ 62¢ · 18,535 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0F62 took Learner Tien (buy) for $11.6k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Karen Khachanov. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.6k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−165American odds
$1.00paid per share if Learner Tien wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 62.3%
- As American odds
- −165 no vig
- Size
- $11.6k
- Placed
- Sep 07, 17:48 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 07, 17:45 EDT
- Result
- Karen Khachanov
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0F62
- Tx
- 0x6ecf8eff…
This wallet's graded record
30/33+6.4 pts
expected 27.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -62 ptsLearner Tien price · entry 62¢ · resolved Karen Khachanov
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ | $25.7k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ | $280.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Learner Tien @ 48¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Karen Khachanov @ 52¢ | $13.5k | excluded |