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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on Learner Tien, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.4 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tienexcluded
$11.6k
BUY Learner Tien @ 62¢ · 18,535 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet 0F62 took Learner Tien (buy) for $11.6k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Karen Khachanov. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.6k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−165American odds
$1.00paid per share if Learner Tien wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
62.3%
As American odds
−165 no vig
Size
$11.6k
Placed
Sep 07, 17:48 EDT
Market close
Sep 07, 17:45 EDT
Result
Karen Khachanov
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0F62
Tx
0x6ecf8eff…
This wallet's graded record
30/33+6.4 pts
expected 27.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -62 pts
Learner Tien price · entry 62¢ · resolved Karen Khachanov
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 62¢ · $11.6k WHALE $11.6K @ 62¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienLOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% alexdave88846d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienLOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ $25.7k0% 0xwise46d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienMED SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ $280.0k
2.2× usual
0% Noprajsk46d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienLOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ $11.4k0% VPenguin46d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienLOW BUY Learner Tien @ 48¢ $25.0k48% 0x78be…bde046d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienLOW BUY Karen Khachanov @ 52¢ $13.5k52% 0xwise46d agoexcluded