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Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $1.11M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?excluded$1.11M
BUY Yes @ 51¢ · 2,173,407 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Sparkling8899 took Yes (buy) for $1.11M at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.11M+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $1.11M
- Placed
- Jun 14, 21:49 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Sparkling8899
- Tx
- 0x6dfdfe3e…
This wallet's graded record
7/10+20.3 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsYes price · entry 51¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $264.4k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $102.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |