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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on Spain, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
BUY Spain @ 58¢ · 17,360 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet JUSTINHERBERTMVP took Spain (buy) for $10.2k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−141American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spain wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.5%
- As American odds
- −141 no vig
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 15:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- JUSTINHERBERTMVP
- Tx
- 0x6d76ad4b…
This wallet's graded record
4/10-9.7 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsSpain price · entry 58¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $72.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |