← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $13.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.7k
SELL No @ 35¢ · 39,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet leegunner took No (sell) for $13.7k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 65.0%
- As American odds
- −186 no vig
- Size
- $13.7k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 15:54 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- leegunner
- Tx
- 0x6d67bb0a…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-14.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -65 ptsNo price · entry 35¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |