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What this means. A wallet put $13.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?excluded
$13.7k
SELL No @ 35¢ · 39,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet leegunner took No (sell) for $13.7k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
35¢
Implied odds
65.0%
As American odds
−186 no vig
Size
$13.7k
Placed
Apr 29, 15:54 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
leegunner
Tx
0x6d67bb0a…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-14.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -65 pts
No price · entry 35¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 35¢ · $13.7k WHALE $13.7K @ 35¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.5k0% matanovik177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.0k0% sss.tier177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.0k0% igetlitty177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.0k0% mooseborzoi LOSING177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.3k0% 0xa5eb…93bf177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.3k0% Overdose190177d agoexcluded