leegunner

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -14.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?+$19.2kYes · avg 42¢ → 98¢ · $33.6k Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?+$5,946Yes · avg 47¢ → 66¢ · $20.8k Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?+$757Yes · avg 22¢ → 24¢ · $10.2k Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?+$6,599Yes · avg 25¢ → 72¢ · $10.0k Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?+$3,588Yes · avg 18¢ → 47¢ · $5,895 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?+$266No · avg 81¢ → 88¢ · $3,670 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?+$324Yes · avg 12¢ → 14¢ · $3,411 Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?+$1,302Yes · avg 4.5¢ → 7.4¢ · $3,356

Price-adjusted edge

-14.0 pts

Called / graded

0/2

Expected from price

0.3

Flagged volume

$150.2k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.5 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$384.1k

Last 30 days +$32.3k · $100.61M volume · 176,841 trades · since Feb 03, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$410.0k

Open P&L · 500 positions

−$51.4k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

628d

6953 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	0	0.3	-14.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢	$44.0k	1%	116d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢	$49.0k	98%	116d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED SELL No @ 84¢	$31.8k	16%	121d ago	missed
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 88¢	$11.8k	12%	125d ago	missed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	LOW SELL No @ 35¢	$13.7k	65%	177d ago	excluded

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.6¢$44.0k

LOW leegunner · 116d ago

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 97.9¢$49.0k

LOW leegunner · 116d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

SELL No @ 84¢$31.8k

MED leegunner · 121d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

SELL No @ 88¢$11.8k

LOW leegunner · 125d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?excluded

SELL No @ 35¢$13.7k

LOW leegunner · 177d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xe542afd3881c4c330ba0ebbb603bb470b2ba0a37"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xe542afd3881c4c330ba0ebbb603bb470b2ba0a37.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe542af…