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Ravens vs. Falconsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $280.3k on not Falcons, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Ravens vs. Falconsexcluded$280.3k
SELL Falcons @ 35¢ · 796,427 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet cosmicxbt took Falcons (sell) for $280.3k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved Ravens. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $280.3k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 64.8%
- As American odds
- −184 no vig
- Size
- $280.3k
- Placed
- Oct 11, 23:43 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 11, 20:20 EDT
- Result
- Ravens
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- cosmicxbt
- Tx
- 0x6c4793f3…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+2.9 pts
expected 0.9 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Falcons | LOW SELL Ravens @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | LOW BUY Ravens @ 85¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | LOW SELL Falcons @ 17¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | MED BUY Falcons @ 47¢ | $48.0k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | MED BUY Ravens @ 35¢ | $135.1k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | LOW BUY Falcons @ 62¢ | $32.9k | excluded |