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Bulls vs. Heatmissed
What this means. A wallet put $19.5k on Bulls, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bulls vs. Heatmissed$19.5k
BUY Bulls @ 34¢ · 56,747 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet Moneyloverman took Bulls (buy) for $19.5k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved Heat, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+191American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bulls wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.4%
- As American odds
- +191 no vig
- Size
- $19.5k
- Placed
- Feb 01, 16:14 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 18:00 EST
- Result
- Heat
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Moneyloverman
- Tx
- 0x6a4eb76b…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-5.4 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -34 ptsBulls price · entry 34¢ · resolved Heat
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Heat | LOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Bulls vs. Heat | LOW BUY Heat @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Bulls vs. Heat | MED BUY Bulls @ 34¢ | $35.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Bulls vs. Heat | LOW BUY Bulls @ 33¢ | $16.9k | missed |
| Bulls vs. Heat | LOW BUY Heat @ 67¢ | $21.5k | called |
| Bulls vs. Heat | MED BUY Heat @ 63¢ | $30.1k | called |