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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on Team Secret Whales, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY Team Secret Whales @ 42¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet lllllllIlll took Team Secret Whales (buy) for $12.6k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved LYON, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Team Secret Whales wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 14:58 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 20:05 EDT
- Result
- LYON
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lllllllIlll
- Tx
- 0x674267e7…
This wallet's graded record
2/10-32.3 pts
expected 5.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsTeam Secret Whales price · entry 42¢ · resolved LYON
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ | $61.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY LYON @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY LYON @ 88¢ | $172.9k 4.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY LYON @ 56¢ | $14.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY LYON @ 59¢ | $25.6k | excluded |