← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on Over, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
BUY Over @ 49¢ · 21,062 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet kekasaur took Over (buy) for $10.3k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- Apr 07, 13:51 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 07, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kekasaur
- Tx
- 0x63a0136c…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-47.3 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsOver price · entry 49¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.9¢ | $58.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 56¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 51¢ | $52.0k | missed |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ | $16.2k | missed |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ | $33.3k | missed |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ | $21.0k | missed |