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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -47.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-47.3 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$24.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$158.9k
Last 30 days −$55.2k · $22.59M volume · 66,744 trades · since Mar 02, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4.66M
Open P&L · 250 positions
−$4.75M
Closed-position win rate
94%
267 closed
Wallet age · markets
236d
516 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.9 | -47.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23? | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $13.7k | missed |
 Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 49¢ | $10.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf5f929…