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What this means. A wallet put $168.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-17?excluded
$168.0k
BUY No @ 42¢ · 400,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)3.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet athelstan took No (buy) for $168.0k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $168.0k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
42¢
Implied odds
42.0%
As American odds
+138 no vig
Size
$168.0k
Placed
Jun 17, 15:13 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 16:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
athelstan
Tx
0x609385c6…
This wallet's graded record
5/10+21.5 pts
expected 2.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -42 pts
No price · entry 42¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 42¢ · $168.0k WHALE $168.0K @ 42¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.5k0% 0xcf60…a6f5128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $21.4k0% Hongweiqian128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% suntori LOSING128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $73.5k0% 0x3dfb…abaf128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.7k0% 0xcd8c…b750128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $73.1k
2.9× usual
0% 0xfdf6…00a1128d agoexcluded