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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded
$11.6k
BUY No @ 99.6¢ · 11,641 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet debased took No (buy) for $11.6k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
99.6%
Size
$11.6k
Placed
Nov 26, 16:28 EST
Market close
Nov 27, 19:33 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
debased
Tx
0x5d9c051f…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+12.5 pts
expected 11.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.6¢ · $11.6k WHALE $11.6K @ 99.6¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $35.6k0% debased330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $74.9k
2.1× usual
0% tsybka330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% aenews2 LOSING330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% classified330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $38.2k100% tsybka330d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.4k100% debased330d agoexcluded