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Spread: Norway (-2.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $31.7k on Norway, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+9.2 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Norway (-2.5)excluded$31.7k
BUY Norway @ 35¢ · 90,431 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet BreakTheBank took Norway (buy) for $31.7k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Norway. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.7k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Norway wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 35.0%
- As American odds
- +186 no vig
- Size
- $31.7k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 17:56 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Norway
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BreakTheBank
- Tx
- 0x5d9646dd…
This wallet's graded record
12/23+9.2 pts
expected 9.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +65 ptsNorway price · entry 35¢ · resolved Norway
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | LOW SELL Norway @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | LOW SELL Norway @ 99.9¢ | $71.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | LOW BUY Iraq @ 74¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | HIGH BUY Iraq @ 69¢ | $385.5k | excluded |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | LOW BUY Norway @ 35¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | LOW BUY Iraq @ 63¢ | $11.5k | missed |