Spread: Norway (-2.5)
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | $409.0k 3 flags |
$23.5k 1 wallet |
none |
| Not Norway | $94.9k 2 flags |
none | none |
| Norway | $56.7k 2 flags |
$31.7k 1 wallet |
none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Norway @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Norway @ 99.9¢ | $71.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Iraq @ 74¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Iraq @ 69¢ | $385.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY Norway @ 35¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Norway @ 35¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Iraq @ 63¢ | $11.5k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 7 whale trades on this market totalling $560.6k from 5 wallets. The largest was $385.5k (buy Iraq at 69¢). Most whale money ($409.0k) went to Iraq. 2 of 7 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, weatherman12 ($385.5k), has called 0 of 2 graded flags overall (-52.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-irq-nor-2026-06-16-spread-away-2pt5).