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What this means. A wallet put $15.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.9k
BUY Yes @ 80¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet How.Dare.You took Yes (buy) for $15.9k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−390American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 79.6%
- Size
- $15.9k
- Placed
- Mar 13, 21:49 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- How.Dare.You
- Tx
- 0x5d006044…
This wallet's graded record
6/8-13.9 pts
expected 7.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.7k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $67.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded |