monstur

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$5,579No · avg 50¢ → 90¢ · $12.6k Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$5,579Yes · avg 50¢ → 10¢ · $1,421 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?−$168Yes · avg 67¢ → 7.5¢ · $21

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$18.1k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$31.9k

Last 30 days −$15 · $4.33M volume · 11,878 trades · since Mar 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$154.7k

Open P&L · 31 positions

−$11.0k

Closed-position win rate

90%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

590d

655 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$18.1k	0%	206d ago	excluded

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$18.1k

LOW monstur · 206d ago

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