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Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $23.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?excluded$23.3k
SELL Yes @ 54¢ · 43,103 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet JhonAlexanderHinestroza took Yes (sell) for $23.3k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 45.9%
- As American odds
- +118 no vig
- Size
- $23.3k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 00:12 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- JhonAlexanderHinestroza
- Tx
- 0x5b65343f…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-31.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +54 ptsYes price · entry 54¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 12¢ | $35.3k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | MED BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | MED BUY No @ 79¢ | $33.2k | excluded |