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What this means. A wallet put $17.5k on not United States, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It won. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.5k
SELL United States @ 53¢ · 33,055 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet bin74848484848 took United States (sell) for $17.5k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Belgium, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $17.5k
- Placed
- Jul 06, 17:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Belgium
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- bin74848484848
- Tx
- 0x5a8a400d…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-12.2 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +53 ptsUnited States price · entry 53¢ · resolved Belgium · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $41.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |