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What this means. A wallet put $73.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$73.1k
SELL Yes @ 91¢ · 80,311 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet4× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (sell) for $73.1k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $73.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 9.0%
- Size
- $73.1k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 08:16 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x59d47fff…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry -2.5 ptsYes price · entry 91¢ · now 93.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $150.7k 6.8× usual |
pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $31.3k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $16.5k | pending |