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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
SELL Yes @ 12¢ · 80,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet casper7 took Yes (sell) for $10.0k at an average 12¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 12¢
- Implied odds
- 87.5%
- As American odds
- −700 no vig
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 13:16 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- casper7
- Tx
- 0x58cdbae1…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-17.8 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.3k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $90.2k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $11.6k | excluded |