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What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +13.4 pts vs the price over 36 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.4k
BUY No @ 85¢ · 15,748 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet Erasmus. took No (buy) for $13.4k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.4k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.0%
- Size
- $13.4k
- Placed
- Jan 11, 09:12 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Erasmus.
- Tx
- 0x57de3580…
This wallet's graded record
29/36+13.4 pts
expected 24.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $78.3k 2.4× usual |
excluded |