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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R Housepending
$50.0k
BUY Yes @ 9¢ · 555,556 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletPolitics

What happened

Wallet whoareyoun took Yes (buy) for $50.0k at an average 9¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $50.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 9¢ means
9%chance the market gave
+1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
9¢
Implied odds
9.0%
Size
$50.0k
Placed
Oct 20, 19:38 EDT
Market close
Nov 03, 23:59 EST
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
whoareyoun
Tx
0x501bdd71…

Price since this bet

Since entry -1.5 pts
Yes price · entry 9¢ · now 7.5¢
4¢8¢13¢ Whale entry 9¢ · $50.0k WHALE $50.0K @ 9¢ -2 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseMED BUY Yes @ 8¢ $64.0k8% thesingularityisnear7h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 93¢ $12.6k93% cymcity8h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 93¢ $13.4k93% Elonurmom1d agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseLOW SELL No @ 91¢ $16.0k9% carlaAB1d agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseHIGH SELL No @ 92¢ $48.1k8% ndb1 PROVEN1d agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseMED BUY Yes @ 8¢ $75.5k
2.2× usual
8% thesingularityisnear1d agopending