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What this means. A wallet put $100.0k on France, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
France vs. Spain: Team to Advanceexcluded
$100.0k
BUY France @ 56¢ · 177,299 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)5× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0x119b…ac3e took France (buy) for $100.0k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $100.0k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−129American odds
$1.00paid per share if France wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
56¢
Implied odds
56.4%
As American odds
−129 no vig
Size
$100.0k
Placed
Jul 14, 14:43 EDT
Market close
Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
Result
Spain
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x119b…ac3e
Tx
0x4ffa3ad4…

Entry to resolution

Grade -56 pts
France price · entry 56¢ · resolved Spain
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 56¢ · $100.0k WHALE $100.0K @ 56¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $10.8k0% 0xf892…8acb102d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $246.3k
5.0× usual
0% Hugewinner102d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $10.7k0% NTSS102d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $41.9k
2.9× usual
0% bigd17102d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $35.7k0% anon.1980.123102d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ $51.6k
2.4× usual
0% machbut102d agoexcluded