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What this means. A wallet put $20.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.8k
BUY No @ 52¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet stackingsats took No (buy) for $20.8k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $20.8k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 21:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 19, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- stackingsats
- Tx
- 0x4fa9b291…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+16.7 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsNo price · entry 52¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | HIGH BUY No @ 89¢ | $396.3k 14.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $89.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |