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Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $60.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?excluded$60.8k
SELL Yes @ 74¢ · 81,897 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet BruceWayne77 took Yes (sell) for $60.8k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $60.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 25.8%
- As American odds
- +288 no vig
- Size
- $60.8k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 23:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BruceWayne77
- Tx
- 0x4ece6239…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+14.2 pts
expected 3.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -26 ptsYes price · entry 74¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $264.4k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $102.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |