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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?excluded
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 48¢ · 31,250 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet richrichrichsad took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
48¢
Implied odds
48.0%
As American odds
+108 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Jun 13, 18:39 EDT
Market close
Jun 13, 18:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
richrichrichsad
Tx
0x4e60bfb1…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+42.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -48 pts
Yes price · entry 48¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 48¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 48¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $64.9k
3.2× usual
0% arlanta132d agoexcluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $52.7k0% Wannac132d agoexcluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% 050005000500132d agoexcluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $21.6k0% igetlitty132d agoexcluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $19.8k1% newbeecat132d agoexcluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $90.6k
2.2× usual
92% 0x2c33…0563132d agoexcluded