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What this means. A wallet put $99.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$99.9k
BUY No @ 98.5¢ · 101,469 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet CenterStage took No (buy) for $99.9k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $99.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 98.5%
- As American odds
- −6567 no vig
- Size
- $99.9k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 04:51 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 18:14 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CenterStage
- Tx
- 0x4e54a8d8…
This wallet's graded record
2/3-7.5 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $711.9k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $37.5k | excluded |