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What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Thundercalled
$12.5k
BUY Thunder @ 74¢ · 16,950 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet shuumai took Thunder (buy) for $12.5k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−285American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
74¢
Implied odds
74.0%
As American odds
−285 no vig
Size
$12.5k
Placed
Feb 27, 19:46 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 21:30 EST
Result
Thunder
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
shuumai
Tx
0x4c4a9904…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+33.0 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +26 pts
Thunder price · entry 74¢ · resolved Thunder
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 74¢ · $12.5k WHALE $12.5K @ 74¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $166.7k
6.0× usual
0% Countrysid238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ $79.9k
2.7× usual
100% rwo238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ $34.5k100% Countrysid238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ $12.7k99% 08AF238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 90¢ $11.6k90% coinlaundry238d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 89¢ $12.4k11% 0x1fa3…ab9c238d agoexcluded