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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did +33.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+33.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$42.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$7,862
Last 30 days −$16 · $1.27M volume · 166 trades · since Dec 22, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$43.8k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$36.0k
Closed-position win rate
42%
26 closed
Wallet age · markets
672d
32 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.3 | +33.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
 Lakers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Lakers @ 60¢ | $10.5k | called |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 74¢ | $12.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb1b963…