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What this means. A wallet put $36.0k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Spursmissed
$36.0k
BUY Thunder @ 43¢ · 83,635 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.1× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet sjqdhqsjgd65 took Thunder (buy) for $36.0k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $36.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
43¢
Implied odds
43.0%
As American odds
+133 no vig
Size
$36.0k
Placed
May 24, 18:28 EDT
Market close
May 24, 20:00 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
sjqdhqsjgd65
Tx
0x4bfed2d7…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-56.4 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -43 pts
Thunder price · entry 43¢ · resolved Spurs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $36.0k WHALE $36.0K @ 43¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Thunder vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $110.0k
4.4× usual
0% tennischamp153d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% 0xd2b5…b7b3153d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ $12.5k100% avonking153d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ $76.9k100% zvon3153d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursMED SELL Spurs @ 92.9¢ $32.3k
2.0× usual
7% Zetalias153d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursMED BUY Spurs @ 96.1¢ $240.2k
9.5× usual
96% 08AF153d agoexcluded