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What this means. A wallet put $14.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.2k
SELL No @ 81¢ · 17,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet elPolloLoco took No (sell) for $14.2k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 19.1%
- As American odds
- +424 no vig
- Size
- $14.2k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 09:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elPolloLoco
- Tx
- 0x4b591f3a…
This wallet's graded record
5/12+5.8 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |