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What this means. A wallet put $22.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.3k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 22,323 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x45a2…3c01 took No (sell) for $22.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $22.3k
- Placed
- Feb 23, 03:29 EST
- Market close
- Feb 25, 04:19 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x45a2…3c01
- Tx
- 0x492bbae9…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.2 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $23.7k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $11.9k | excluded |