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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$53.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$501
Last 30 days +$132 · $506.1k volume · 877 trades · since Jan 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$6,521
Open P&L · 75 positions
−$4,223
Closed-position win rate
98%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
290d
577 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa99649…