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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Oct 31
$45.4k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
The Spirit of Ukraine>UM bought No at 99.7¢. The price gave that side a 100% chance. 45,570 shares, Oct 29, 17:59 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $45.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UM bought No for $45.4k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied 100% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $45.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.0 ptsNo price · entry 99.7¢ · now 99.7¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $10.7k | OpenResolves Oct 31 |