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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Oct 31
$10.7k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
classified sold No at 99.4¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 1% chance. 10,777 shares, Oct 28, 16:48 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet classified sold No for $10.7k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied 1% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $10.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.3 ptsNo price · entry 99.4¢ · now 99.7¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $45.4k 3.5× usual |
OpenResolves Oct 31 |