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What this means. A wallet put $18.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.2k
SELL Yes @ 20¢ · 89,595 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet NeH took Yes (sell) for $18.2k at an average 20¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 20¢
- Implied odds
- 79.7%
- Size
- $18.2k
- Placed
- Nov 28, 10:25 EST
- Market close
- May 19, 20:18 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NeH
- Tx
- 0x471e7f07…
This wallet's graded record
4/5+40.8 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 57¢ | $14.2k | called |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $14.5k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $17.4k | called |