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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
BUY No @ 96.9¢ · 10,834 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet Debosnys took No (buy) for $10.5k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3126American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.9¢
- Implied odds
- 96.9%
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Feb 24, 11:19 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Debosnys
- Tx
- 0x4642ffe7…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $104.1k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $42.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $169.8k 4.2× usual |
excluded |